It actually is really simple if you understand the math. Suppose a mythic has a .5 percent chance of dropping. That means it has a 99.5 percent chance of NOT dropping. Now you have 3 chances per crate, so one crate has a a 98.5 of NOT dropping a mythic. Now, your next question is, what is the chance of it NOT dropping a mythic for 100 crates in a row??? That is 22.2%. That means it has a 77.7% chance at dropping a mythic. Not good enough? 150 crates in a row is 89% chance at a mythic? Want a just about guarantee??? 200 crates in a row is a 95% chance.
Now, that is all assuming the initial drop rate is right ...
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