AL luck system explained

**wvhills** · 03-20-2014, 12:07 PM

Originally Posted by Haligali

There is some truth, you can notice this on proc of the weapons: sometimes just don't want happen, sometimes happens quick repeatedly.

i've notice that with the quill procs.

**MoloToha** · 03-20-2014, 12:10 PM

Originally Posted by Haligali

There is some truth, you can notice this on proc of the weapons: sometimes just don't want happen, sometimes happens quick repeatedly.

If I don't mistake, it's called "Korean random"

**FluffNStuff** · 03-20-2014, 12:18 PM

Conformation Bias! My favorite!!! Keep em coming!!! Let's see how long till we can get to the shoes with no socks guarantees a reroll from Jarl.

**Pandorix** · 03-20-2014, 12:32 PM

How can ya explain 2 arcane shards in 16 opened locks two days ago and over 350 opened locks few weeks back with no myth loot?

Sent from Vox TV via...wait,what?

**notfaded1** · 03-20-2014, 12:43 PM

Originally Posted by Pandorix

How can ya explain 2 arcane shards in 16 opened locks two days ago and over 350 opened locks few weeks back with no myth loot?

Sent from Vox TV via...wait,what?

yep it really is random so you randomly may not get ne thing in 1000 locked o.O!

Someone got two shards in 16 crates?

**Zapix** · 03-20-2014, 12:57 PM

2 shards would be a lotto winner. I have opened plenty of locked crates and never got a arcane item

I'm starting to think some people are just leprechaun's.

**gumball3000** · 03-20-2014, 02:21 PM

Originally Posted by Pandorix

How can ya explain 2 arcane shards in 16 opened locks two days ago and over 350 opened locks few weeks back with no myth loot?

Sent from Vox TV via...wait,what?

How long did it take to open the 16 locks? Did you open one after another?

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**Crowsfoot** · 03-20-2014, 06:42 PM

...my farming strategies...

**Ishtmeet** · 03-20-2014, 06:43 PM

I guess it's just pure luck.

**Crowsfoot** · 03-20-2014, 06:48 PM

Originally Posted by Ishtmeet

I guess it's just pure luck.

Math, cognitive observations, multiple devices, perfect timing, and hours of waiting*

**Fauksuras** · 03-20-2014, 06:50 PM

Originally Posted by Xenobiotic:1530181

There is proof, whenever I take my daily rewards from Klaas and Shaz back to back, I get the exact same elixir from both of them. I dont think its a coincidence.

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I can vouch this is true. Many many times I have gotten same elixir from them within seconds of each other.

What I wonder is if the luck is based on varios possible milliseconds or just a specific one

**Anarchist** · 03-20-2014, 07:08 PM

I think the game has a pseudo random generator based on time.
Majority of random numbers computer protocols use are all based on the current time of the server or machine where they are running.

So it won't be strange if AL random luck which i think was originally created to be random repeats itself or approximately repeats itself in a certain interval.

#Speculations :P

**Hiosahaf** · 03-20-2014, 07:16 PM

Originally Posted by EliteFamily

I think the game has a pseudo random generator based on time.
Majority of random numbers computer protocols use are all based on the current time of the server or machine where they are running.

So it won't be strange if AL random luck which i think was originally created to be random repeats itself or approximately repeats itself in a certain interval.

#Speculations :P

The generator favours you -.-

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**Anarchist** · 03-20-2014, 07:26 PM

Originally Posted by Hiosahaf

The generator favours you -.-

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Ah really?

Why didn't i win great Singe contest then ?

I mistaked with 700+ positions :P

**Hiosahaf** · 03-20-2014, 08:11 PM

Originally Posted by EliteFamily

Ah really?

Why didn't i win great Singe contest then ?

I mistaked with 700+ positions :P

Erm..erm.. karma!

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**Madnex** · 03-20-2014, 09:36 PM

You're definitely onto something here.

After countless hours of farming on SL, DL, AL I noticed that when specific good loot drops, it drops a lot of the same item in a set amount of time (might be 12h/day). Not sure about crate luck yet I wouldn't be surprised if the mythic/arcane drops are controlled and monitored by some system similar to what you described.

**Allocate** · 03-21-2014, 01:19 AM

Yeah, I collect klass/shazbot via my alt. accounts and they all get similar elixirs/eggs/pots most times.

Perhaps you are on to something!

**Euldor** · 03-21-2014, 01:27 AM

Not the same case with me. I have never received the same elix/chest package from both Klaas and Shazbot and I always claim them at the same time. This is only for the Klaas/Shazbot thing though.

**Fyrce** · 03-22-2014, 02:15 AM

In any random system, there will, by definition, also be clusters of whatever event it is that people will notice.

I have yet to notice a cluster of crate desired events, but I'd imagine it can happen, should enough crates be opened, either by a group or by individuals.

As for the shazbot, klaas thing, isn't that mainly commonality? They have a limited set, a couple very common, that they reward. I never get back to back combo elixirs from them or back-to-back combo elixirs in back-to-back toons. Probably because the combo elixir is rarer than the other stuff they reward. They have 1, maybe 2, rewards that they award a lot. I would expect that anyone would get those common rewards quite often, in which case, it would appear to be back-to-back.

**Milan Lame Man** · 03-23-2014, 02:03 AM

Originally Posted by Fyrce

As for the shazbot, klaas thing, isn't that mainly commonality? They have a limited set, a couple very common, that they reward. I never get back to back combo elixirs from them or back-to-back combo elixirs in back-to-back toons.

Well if I get a combo elix, I run it, so the next toon comes an hour later. You skip most combo elixirs?
And in fact, I got 2 combo elixirs back to back on Thursay because I was too tired to run it. Just hoped for egg.

I've been complaining that the random system is rigged, a few times. Never got answer from STS.
And ROFL at Sam saying the tooth drop rate has not changed since release