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View Full Version : Tired of not getting locked



WallyMcGee
03-07-2014, 05:01 AM
Running brakenridge and everyone around me getting 1 lock every 5 runs. I have 1 lock on 201 runs. This isn't bad luck, there's something wrong wihy character

Ishtmeet
03-07-2014, 05:12 AM
Did you counted 201 runs? o.O

WallyMcGee
03-07-2014, 05:15 AM
Yes I did. I was getting frustrated. Finally got anther one at 237 runs 2 to 237

Sky_is_epicgearz
03-07-2014, 05:30 AM
Wait do you have a leprechaun? You didn't mention so I'm just assuming you have one :) without a leprechaun any sort of farming is instantly more difficult.
Mhm 15% luck isn't much so I usually only farm when I get a luck elixir from klaas or shazbot. I find that running with just your leprechaun can be fruitless and you can spend a significant amount of time without gaining anything.

Milan Lame Man
03-07-2014, 06:27 AM
Well yes, most people only run it when they get luck elixir from Shazbot or Klass, so their luck may seem better than yours.
Anyway, some people do seem to be luckier than others. I've run KM3 for some time. My friend gets 1 or 2 locked each run, I got 1 locked in 3 hours. He had lepre and some free rerolls, as was I.
I really would love STS to fix this "luck" thing to work as it should, that is, random each time anything drops, not randomly pick people for a dry month.

Haligali
03-07-2014, 06:46 AM
If have no luck at jarl, then lockeds are somewhere else in that time, try few km3 run between. I do a few jarl runs also, when drop rate low at kraken mines.

jb57542
03-07-2014, 06:57 AM
I intentially check with Shaz first and Klasd second when both have something for me. Sometimes I get extra lucky and get a reroll from Shaz and combo from Klass. Stacker with my lep pendenat I get 65% luck for a bit.

Haligali
03-07-2014, 07:23 AM
I intentially check with Shaz first and Klasd second when both have something for me. Sometimes I get extra lucky and get a reroll from Shaz and combo from Klass. Stacker with my lep pendenat I get 65% luck for a bit.

2x25% luck=25%, only different percent stacks.

GoodSyntax
03-07-2014, 10:12 AM
2x25% luck=25%, only different percent stacks.

I thought that a Combo, Klass and Shaz lixes could stack because Shaz lix is for 15 mins, while the typical lix from Klaas is 30 mins, and Combo is 60 mins.

For some reason I thought that if the duration of the elixirs are different, then they stack, if they are the same, then one cancels. It doesn't mean guaranteed loot, just that the probability of rerolling into a different loot table increases.

But my mind is like Swiss Cheese, so I could be fabricating the entire memory.

WallyMcGee
03-07-2014, 10:51 AM
I had Lep on

Rare
03-07-2014, 11:19 AM
I personally have never had much luck with jarl and rarely ever farm there anymore

Bilaxman
03-07-2014, 11:44 AM
What is this KM3 people keep talking about?

Uzii
03-07-2014, 11:48 AM
What is this KM3 people keep talking about?

Kraken Mines 3, u get there from Dragon´s Jewel talking to Hana

bloodpack004
03-07-2014, 11:50 AM
What is this KM3 people keep talking about?

Kraken mines level 3 to enter the mines you should complete "Power of Gleipnir" quest.

Unethical
03-07-2014, 11:50 AM
Kraken mines 3 where 3 bosses spawn with a chance of locks. Get there after finishing kraken quest line.

Bilaxman
03-07-2014, 11:51 AM
Kraken Mines 3, u get there from Dragon´s Jewel talking to Hana

Ah. Thank you! :)

FluffNStuff
03-07-2014, 12:01 PM
I had Lep on

Then you were running with people who had lix or even stacked lix's (Yes, if you can get them at the same time, they DO STACK).

Consider the different math.

Lets say it is a 25% chance at a purple from Klause:
15% Reroll = 3.75% chance at Crate = 1 / 26 runs.
40% Reroll (Lep + Elix) = 10% chance = 1 / 10 runs.

Now consider that there are 3 other players, and if EACH of them has Lep + Elix, they EACH have 10% chance for a total of 30% chance, so you can expect to SEE another player get a crate one out of every 3 runs, while you only get it one out of every 26 runs. This is most likely what your issue is, the fact that someone other then you is 3 times as likely to get the drop just because there are 3 times as many of them then you.

MoloToha
03-07-2014, 01:06 PM
I get 10 locked (±fluctuation) in approx 300 runs, so according to my statistics, the chance is 1/30 = 3,(3)%... Also there can be a 1-2 bonus locked from a mob.

Ellysius
03-07-2014, 01:58 PM
Then you were running with people who had lix or even stacked lix's (Yes, if you can get them at the same time, they DO STACK).

Consider the different math.

Lets say it is a 25% chance at a purple from Klause:
15% Reroll = 3.75% chance at Crate = 1 / 26 runs.
40% Reroll (Lep + Elix) = 10% chance = 1 / 10 runs.

Now consider that there are 3 other players, and if EACH of them has Lep + Elix, they EACH have 10% chance for a total of 30% chance, so you can expect to SEE another player get a crate one out of every 3 runs, while you only get it one out of every 26 runs. This is most likely what your issue is, the fact that someone other then you is 3 times as likely to get the drop just because there are 3 times as many of them then you.

Good math Fluff lol

WallyMcGee
03-07-2014, 08:02 PM
* 2 locks every 237 runs

Spyce
03-07-2014, 08:30 PM
I got 6 locks in about 30-45 mins in KM3 yesterday.

Doobiez
03-07-2014, 09:40 PM
Yea crates are dropping crazy for me now