Dogoeswoof
07-22-2014, 07:51 AM
Just out of curiosity, I explored the contest thread and found 179 pages of entries. With 20 entries per page, and 14 entries on page 179, that means there are 3574 entries. However, not every post is an entry because some people say random things or say reserved and never remember to post anything. So lets assume there are 2 or 3 posts per page not being used as entries. This number averaging 2.5 would mean that there are roughly 3100 entries for the contest. However the number 2.5 could be higher or lower than the entries, lets just say there are 3000 entries. Now here comes your chances...
I made 20 entries so that gives me a .667% chance of winning s&s if there are 3000 entries
Assumming most people made 20 entries, your chances depending on how many of those posts were actually entries would vary from probably 1% if the contest thread was a chatroom to .5% if everyone remembered to take a selfi... I mean screenshot. If you post less than 20 entries, well your chances are even less. Good luck to everyone!
Conclusion: Most people who made 20 entries will have roughly .6%-.75% chance of winning.
To put that in perspective, you have a .46% chance of rolling a six-sided dice 3 times and guessing the number correctly all 3 times. Which happens to be in the range of 15 entries.
15 entries -> .45%-.57%
10 entries -> .3%-.38%
5 entries -> .15%-.19%
1 entry -> .03%-.038%
I made 20 entries so that gives me a .667% chance of winning s&s if there are 3000 entries
Assumming most people made 20 entries, your chances depending on how many of those posts were actually entries would vary from probably 1% if the contest thread was a chatroom to .5% if everyone remembered to take a selfi... I mean screenshot. If you post less than 20 entries, well your chances are even less. Good luck to everyone!
Conclusion: Most people who made 20 entries will have roughly .6%-.75% chance of winning.
To put that in perspective, you have a .46% chance of rolling a six-sided dice 3 times and guessing the number correctly all 3 times. Which happens to be in the range of 15 entries.
15 entries -> .45%-.57%
10 entries -> .3%-.38%
5 entries -> .15%-.19%
1 entry -> .03%-.038%