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  1. #1
    Member saroeun's Avatar
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    Default Open locked

    This is suggestions to the best player or the person had experience Open Locked Grate...
    I'm very worry about my paying flatium to open locked. I'm really wanna get the best thing in the Locked. So I wanna know about your experience from all Arcane players.
    Please Tell me
    " How to Open Locked? "
    " what we need to wear before we open Locked? "
    " when we should to Open Locked? "
    Thanks Advance (If I have something wrong please tell me, cuz I don't want to get Ban from Officers)

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    Quote Originally Posted by saroeun View Post
    This is suggestions to the best player or the person had experience Open Locked Grate...
    I'm very worry about my paying flatium to open locked. I'm really wanna get the best thing in the Locked. So I wanna know about your experience from all Arcane players.
    Please Tell me
    " How to Open Locked? "
    " what we need to wear before we open Locked? "
    " when we should to Open Locked? "
    Thanks Advance (If I have something wrong please tell me, cuz I don't want to get Ban from Officers)
    1. Click Open Button
    2. Doesnt matter
    3. Anytime

    15 Plats each, can ended for nothing.
    or be a lucky bastard then getting rich instantly



    Sent from my GT-I9300 using Tapatalk 2

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    Member saroeun's Avatar
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    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by abihakim View Post
    1. Click Open Button
    2. Doesnt matter
    3. Anytime

    15 Plats each, can ended for nothing.
    or be a lucky bastard then getting rich instantly



    Sent from my GT-I9300 using Tapatalk 2
    Thanks...

    I need the way to be lucky, and I'm fear to be nothing after open it^_^

    If have any Ideas, give more information to me... Please ^_^

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    Guardian of Alterra JaytB's Avatar
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    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by saroeun View Post
    Thanks...

    I need the way to be lucky, and I'm fear to be nothing after open it^_^

    If have any Ideas, give more information to me... Please ^_^
    There are no tricks, exploits or other things you can do to increase your chances to get something good. It's all pure luck.


    And for all doubters of my rockstar status:
    Quote Originally Posted by Justg View Post
    U rok, thanks!

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    Member saroeun's Avatar
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    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by JaytB View Post
    There are no tricks, exploits or other things you can do to increase your chances to get something good. It's all pure luck.
    Thanks!!! Doing u have other way?

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    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by saroeun View Post
    Thanks...

    I need the way to be lucky, and I'm fear to be nothing after open it^_^

    If have any Ideas, give more information to me... Please ^_^
    By definition, lucky means its by chance and there no way to make yourself lucky.

    AL: Rare (Rogue)/Common (Warrior)/Mythic (Sorcerer)

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    Senior Member Xstealthxx's Avatar
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    Default

    all random bro

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    Default

    Take ur locked
    Fire up ur platinums
    Drink 3 Glasses of water **NOTE not full
    Pray.
    Eat a Sandwich
    Open
    Good Luck


    Karma Officer
    IGNs : Hazard ( Tank ) , Jxmaa ( Rogue )

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    Member saroeun's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jxmaa View Post
    Take ur locked
    Fire up ur platinums
    Drink 3 Glasses of water **NOTE not full
    Pray.
    Eat a Sandwich
    Open
    Good Luck
    Wow....
    This is great chance!!!
    Thanks so much that maked us smile

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    Default

    be ready to cry after your trigger happy fingers keep pressing the open button on the crates

    it is all luck...

    Sent from my GT-I9100 using Tapatalk 2

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    Default

    Crates are big huge rip off ploy tiny piece luck mostly if all chooses you
    Notice same people find all the goods other extremely rare as in u may find something if u spend a few grand in real money

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    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Kracker jak View Post
    Crates are big huge rip off ploy tiny piece luck mostly if all chooses you
    Notice same people find all the goods other extremely rare as in u may find something if u spend a few grand in real money
    No way!!!
    I don't have money to spend for game...

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    It actually is really simple if you understand the math. Suppose a mythic has a .5 percent chance of dropping. That means it has a 99.5 percent chance of NOT dropping. Now you have 3 chances per crate, so one crate has a a 98.5 of NOT dropping a mythic. Now, your next question is, what is the chance of it NOT dropping a mythic for 100 crates in a row??? That is 22.2%. That means it has a 77.7% chance at dropping a mythic. Not good enough? 150 crates in a row is 89% chance at a mythic? Want a just about guarantee??? 200 crates in a row is a 95% chance.

    Now, that is all assuming the initial drop rate is right ...

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    Quote Originally Posted by FluffNStuff View Post
    It actually is really simple if you understand the math. Suppose a mythic has a .5 percent chance of dropping. That means it has a 99.5 percent chance of NOT dropping. Now you have 3 chances per crate, so one crate has a a 98.5 of NOT dropping a mythic. Now, your next question is, what is the chance of it NOT dropping a mythic for 100 crates in a row??? That is 22.2%. That means it has a 77.7% chance at dropping a mythic. Not good enough? 150 crates in a row is 89% chance at a mythic? Want a just about guarantee??? 200 crates in a row is a 95% chance.

    Now, that is all assuming the initial drop rate is right ...
    Not quite.

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    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by FluffNStuff View Post
    It actually is really simple if you understand the math. Suppose a mythic has a .5 percent chance of dropping. That means it has a 99.5 percent chance of NOT dropping. Now you have 3 chances per crate, so one crate has a a 98.5 of NOT dropping a mythic. Now, your next question is, what is the chance of it NOT dropping a mythic for 100 crates in a row??? That is 22.2%. That means it has a 77.7% chance at dropping a mythic. Not good enough? 150 crates in a row is 89% chance at a mythic? Want a just about guarantee??? 200 crates in a row is a 95% chance.

    Now, that is all assuming the initial drop rate is right ...
    lol

    AL: Rare (Rogue)/Common (Warrior)/Mythic (Sorcerer)

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    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by FluffNStuff View Post
    It actually is really simple if you understand the math. Suppose a mythic has a .5 percent chance of dropping. That means it has a 99.5 percent chance of NOT dropping. Now you have 3 chances per crate, so one crate has a a 98.5 of NOT dropping a mythic. Now, your next question is, what is the chance of it NOT dropping a mythic for 100 crates in a row??? That is 22.2%. That means it has a 77.7% chance at dropping a mythic. Not good enough? 150 crates in a row is 89% chance at a mythic? Want a just about guarantee??? 200 crates in a row is a 95% chance.

    Now, that is all assuming the initial drop rate is right ...
    Ur luck doesn't stack
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    Quote Originally Posted by FluffNStuff View Post
    It actually is really simple if you understand the math. Suppose a mythic has a .5 percent chance of dropping. That means it has a 99.5 percent chance of NOT dropping. Now you have 3 chances per crate, so one crate has a a 98.5 of NOT dropping a mythic. Now, your next question is, what is the chance of it NOT dropping a mythic for 100 crates in a row??? That is 22.2%. That means it has a 77.7% chance at dropping a mythic. Not good enough? 150 crates in a row is 89% chance at a mythic? Want a just about guarantee??? 200 crates in a row is a 95% chance.

    Now, that is all assuming the initial drop rate is right ...
    now this is a crock of bull. each crate has the same odds no matter how many you previously opened and doesn't increase with numbers. I opened over 600 Before I got one mythic. the odds stay the same per crate and therefore doesn't increase by opening 200. this is a mathematical fallacy and should be disregarded. the chances are about as good as winning the lottery. you could open 1000 and get nothing( which I've seen several people do... several) or open 2 and get lucky. the odds never increase. there is actually one person I know who opened 2,450 and didn't get one mythic so take that to the bank
    Last edited by djironlung; 08-12-2013 at 09:00 AM.

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    Quote Originally Posted by djironlung View Post
    now this is a crock of bull. each crate has the same odds no matter how many you previously opened and doesn't increase with numbers. I opened over 600 Before I got one mythic. the odds stay the same per crate and therefore doesn't increase by opening 200. this is a mathematical fallacy and should be disregarded. the chances are about as good as winning the lottery. you could open 1000 and get nothing( which I've seen several people do... several) or open 2 and get lucky. the odds never increase. there is actually one person I know who opened 2,450 and didn't get one mythic so take that to the bank
    I never open a locked, but I strongly agree with u. Because one time when I got lucky elixir, I try fight for locked crate, but I don't get even one... In this party too one person got locked Crate without lucky elixir....... ^_^

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    Quote Originally Posted by djironlung View Post
    now this is a crock of bull. each crate has the same odds no matter how many you previously opened and doesn't increase with numbers. I opened over 600 Before I got one mythic. the odds stay the same per crate and therefore doesn't increase by opening 200. this is a mathematical fallacy and should be disregarded. the chances are about as good as winning the lottery. you could open 1000 and get nothing( which I've seen several people do... several) or open 2 and get lucky. the odds never increase. there is actually one person I know who opened 2,450 and didn't get one mythic so take that to the bank
    again... Fluff never assume the odd changes per crate... he's looking at the probability of 200 (or 1000) crates as a whole. If you have time, please read some of the previous posts, or just try to understand "Binomial Distribution" posted by fumolamota...

    At the end of the day, we don't know the chance of getting a mythic per crate (it's assumed to be .5% per roll here in Fluff's calculation), then we won't know what the probability would be, so it all depends on luck.

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    I definitely recommend opening crates on a low lvl alt char or twink. lvl 5 and 7 i prefer. This will allow u to make more money off of just the normal legendary items from crates. For example, a lvl 31 bonechill bow of potency is worth around 5k, while a lvl 7 bonechill of pot is worth 200k +. But yes, other than this its just luck to get the best stuff out of crates. Anyway, i wish u luck!
    Last edited by Erdnase; 07-25-2013 at 12:06 PM.
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