Open locked

[saroeun]

This is suggestions to the best player or the person had experience Open Locked Grate...
I'm very worry about my paying flatium to open locked. I'm really wanna get the best thing in the Locked. So I wanna know about your experience from all Arcane players.
Please Tell me
" How to Open Locked? "
" what we need to wear before we open Locked? "
" when we should to Open Locked? "
Thanks Advance (If I have something wrong please tell me, cuz I don't want to get Ban from Officers)

[abihakim]

This is suggestions to the best player or the person had experience Open Locked Grate...
I'm very worry about my paying flatium to open locked. I'm really wanna get the best thing in the Locked. So I wanna know about your experience from all Arcane players.
Please Tell me
" How to Open Locked? "
" what we need to wear before we open Locked? "
" when we should to Open Locked? "
Thanks Advance (If I have something wrong please tell me, cuz I don't want to get Ban from Officers)

1. Click Open Button
2. Doesnt matter
3. Anytime

15 Plats each, can ended for nothing.
or be a lucky bastard then getting rich instantly



Sent from my GT-I9300 using Tapatalk 2

[saroeun]

1. Click Open Button
2. Doesnt matter
3. Anytime

15 Plats each, can ended for nothing.
or be a lucky bastard then getting rich instantly



Sent from my GT-I9300 using Tapatalk 2

Thanks...

I need the way to be lucky, and I'm fear to be nothing after open it^_^

If have any Ideas, give more information to me... Please ^_^

[JaytB]

Thanks...

I need the way to be lucky, and I'm fear to be nothing after open it^_^

If have any Ideas, give more information to me... Please ^_^

There are no tricks, exploits or other things you can do to increase your chances to get something good. It's all pure luck.

[Xstealthxx]

all random bro

[Jxmaa]

Take ur locked
Fire up ur platinums
Drink 3 Glasses of water **NOTE not full
Pray.
Eat a Sandwich
Open
Good Luck

[chitgoks]

be ready to cry after your trigger happy fingers keep pressing the open button on the crates

it is all luck...

Sent from my GT-I9100 using Tapatalk 2

[Kracker jak]

Crates are big huge rip off ploy tiny piece luck mostly if all chooses you
Notice same people find all the goods other extremely rare as in u may find something if u spend a few grand in real money

[Rare]

Thanks...

I need the way to be lucky, and I'm fear to be nothing after open it^_^

If have any Ideas, give more information to me... Please ^_^

By definition, lucky means its by chance and there no way to make yourself lucky.

[FluffNStuff]

It actually is really simple if you understand the math. Suppose a mythic has a .5 percent chance of dropping. That means it has a 99.5 percent chance of NOT dropping. Now you have 3 chances per crate, so one crate has a a 98.5 of NOT dropping a mythic. Now, your next question is, what is the chance of it NOT dropping a mythic for 100 crates in a row??? That is 22.2%. That means it has a 77.7% chance at dropping a mythic. Not good enough? 150 crates in a row is 89% chance at a mythic? Want a just about guarantee??? 200 crates in a row is a 95% chance.

Now, that is all assuming the initial drop rate is right ...

[Erdnase]

I definitely recommend opening crates on a low lvl alt char or twink. lvl 5 and 7 i prefer. This will allow u to make more money off of just the normal legendary items from crates. For example, a lvl 31 bonechill bow of potency is worth around 5k, while a lvl 7 bonechill of pot is worth 200k +. But yes, other than this its just luck to get the best stuff out of crates. Anyway, i wish u luck!

[joshtheboss]

It actually is really simple if you understand the math. Suppose a mythic has a .5 percent chance of dropping. That means it has a 99.5 percent chance of NOT dropping. Now you have 3 chances per crate, so one crate has a a 98.5 of NOT dropping a mythic. Now, your next question is, what is the chance of it NOT dropping a mythic for 100 crates in a row??? That is 22.2%. That means it has a 77.7% chance at dropping a mythic. Not good enough? 150 crates in a row is 89% chance at a mythic? Want a just about guarantee??? 200 crates in a row is a 95% chance.

Now, that is all assuming the initial drop rate is right ...

Not quite.

[Trenton]

Not quite.

Then explain


Show the class your work

[Rare]

It actually is really simple if you understand the math. Suppose a mythic has a .5 percent chance of dropping. That means it has a 99.5 percent chance of NOT dropping. Now you have 3 chances per crate, so one crate has a a 98.5 of NOT dropping a mythic. Now, your next question is, what is the chance of it NOT dropping a mythic for 100 crates in a row??? That is 22.2%. That means it has a 77.7% chance at dropping a mythic. Not good enough? 150 crates in a row is 89% chance at a mythic? Want a just about guarantee??? 200 crates in a row is a 95% chance.

Now, that is all assuming the initial drop rate is right ...

lol

[Rare]

Then explain


Show the class your work

You have 3 0.5% chances of looting a mythic per crate. if you open 100 crates you have 300 0.5% chances of looting a mythic. Period. Each roll is not dependend on the other and the probilities do not combine.

If you open 1000 crates... you have 3000 0.5% chances at looting a mythic.

[Trenton]

You have 3 0.5% chances of looting a mythic per crate. if you open 100 crates you have 300 0.5% chances of looting a mythic. Period. Each roll is not dependend on the other and the probilities do not combine.

If you open 1000 crates... you have 3000 0.5% chances at looting a mythic.

So if someone was dumb enough, there's a CHANCE if they open 50k crates that they could possibly not get a mythic/arcane?

[Rare]

So if someone was dumb enough, there's a CHANCE if they open 50k crates that they could possibly not get a mythic/arcane?

That is 100% correct.

[FluffNStuff]

You have 3 0.5% chances of looting a mythic per crate. if you open 100 crates you have 300 0.5% chances of looting a mythic. Period. Each roll is not dependend on the other and the probilities do not combine.

If you open 1000 crates... you have 3000 0.5% chances at looting a mythic.

Sorry, this is not correct, that is the probability of looting 3000 mythics from 1000 crates.
Question, if you flip a coin, what is the chances of getting heads?
Now, what is the chances of getting heads if you flip a coin 10 times.
Note, you just want to get heads at least once, and you flip the same coin 10 times. So, what are your chances that heads will come up at least once?
According to your statement it is 50%, since they are independent flips, but that is not correct. I leave it up to you to answer

[Rare]

Sorry, this is not correct, that is the probability of looting 3000 mythics from 1000 crates.
Question, if you flip a coin, what is the chances of getting heads?
Now, what is the chances of getting heads if you flip a coin 10 times.
Note, you just want to get heads at least once, and you flip the same coin 10 times. So, what are your chances that heads will come up at least once?
According to your statement it is 50%, since they are independent flips, but that is not correct. I leave it up to you to answer

If you flip a coin 10 times you have 10 50% chances it will land on heads. Each flip is independent of another flip. Now, the probability that it will land on tails every single time is low, but it does not change your chance on each individual flip.

In addition to that, I believe your "98.5" is incorrect. Each roll would have a 0.5% chance. What this means is that it is possible to get 3 arcanes or 3 mythics in one crate. But it also mean you can end up with nothing. Given that each crate and roll is indepedent and does not have any effect on the other, there is no relationship between each roll.

If what you are saying is true, at some point you would be garaunteed a mythic or arcane drop. That just simply isn't true.

[FluffNStuff]

If you flip a coin 10 times you have 10 50% chances it will land on heads. Each flip is independent of another flip. Now, the probability that it will land on tails every single time is low, but it does not change your chance on each individual flip.

In addition to that, I believe your "98.5" is incorrect. Each roll would have a 0.5% chance. What this means is that it is possible to get 3 arcanes or 3 mythics in one crate. But it also mean you can end up with nothing. Given that each crate and roll is indepedent and does not have any effect on the other, there is no relationship between each roll.

If what you are saying is true, at some point you would be garaunteed a mythic or arcane drop. That just simply isn't true.

You most definitely are a deadly warrior/rogue, but your lack of respect for math is making me cry

The chances of getting 10 tails in a row is 0.09765625%. This means that to ~not~ get 10 tails in a row, it would be 1- 0.09765625 or 99.902%. That is the chance of getting at least one head in 10 flips.

The 98.5 comes from the fact that each crate contains 3 independent rolls. Each roll has a .5% chance at a mythic and a 99.5% chance at anything else. The chance that you get anything else 3 times in a row is 98.5%. Oh, and the chance that you get 3 mythics from 1 crate is 0.0000125%.

Guaranteed a drop? I guess I used that wrong, because it is NEVER guaranteed. If you open a 1000 crates, your chance at a mythic is 99.999970539356% Notice that it is not 100%, you can STILL NOT GET ONE after 1000, and you CAN GET ONE after only 1.

And remember, this is all based on my wild guess at .5% chance at a mythic. Could be higher or lower, no clue.