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Thread: Bigger Luck Experiment

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    Default Bigger Luck Experiment

    The Question of the reroll percentage on Big and Bigger luck has been presented many times in the last few months and we heard from Asommers that Big luck was 17% (or so)

    Today I am setting that out to test.

    Test Place: Bayou Bross Brawl
    Test Elixers: None
    Test Big/Bigger luck: Bigger Luck



    # of Run Total Items looted Rerolls
    Run #1 7 loot 3 rerolls
    Run #2 10 loot 0 rerolls
    Run #3 8 loot 3 reroll
    Run #4 8 loot 0 reroll
    Run #5 9 loot 3 reroll
    Run #6 8 loot 0 reroll
    Run #7 8 loot 1 reroll
    Run #8 9 loot 4 reroll
    Run #9 8 loot 0 reroll
    Run #10 8 loot 2 reroll
    Run #11 8 loot 1 reroll
    Run #12 9 loot 1 reroll


    Conclusion of First test

    Items Looted: 100
    Items Rerolled: 18


    Therefore Bigger luck in this scenario came out as 18% chance for reroll

    My next test will be in a different scenario, also my third will be in conjunction with a 1.5x combo elixer to see if the luck stacks properly.

    Lastly this is not just my experiment Anyone can contribute to it! it is a community project, if you would like to do a experiment do 100 runs on a specific map/boss that has all rerollable items (that you know of) and record all the data similar to what I have and either post it here or pm me.

    thoughts are welcomed.
    Last edited by Griffinfan; 03-07-2013 at 04:41 PM.

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    Shoulda try AO3?
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    Love experimenting and data collecting. Just gotta put you on the look out for something that might mess with your data. Rerolls only happen if there is a loot rarity higher then the one you first got. Easy example is a pink on a boss. If you get one on the first try, you won't get a reroll even with a 100% elixir. Next problem is mobs. If a mob does not have a pink in its table and you roll a purple, you won't get a reroll. Some mobs don't have purples in their table so you won't get a reroll on Greens. You just need to know what the max loot rarity is and remove those results from your attempts. Then again, maybe you already did this. Good luck and keep it up!!

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    Quote Originally Posted by Dragonrider023 View Post
    Shoulda try AO3?
    I was thinking of doing either plasma pyramid or CTK, I don't know if all the looted items in plasma or CTK would reroll. I know some items in forest haven do not reroll.

    Quote Originally Posted by FluffNStuff View Post
    Love experimenting and data collecting. Just gotta put you on the look out for something that might mess with your data. Rerolls only happen if there is a loot rarity higher then the one you first got. Easy example is a pink on a boss. If you get one on the first try, you won't get a reroll even with a 100% elixir. Next problem is mobs. If a mob does not have a pink in its table and you roll a purple, you won't get a reroll. Some mobs don't have purples in their table so you won't get a reroll on Greens. You just need to know what the max loot rarity is and remove those results from your attempts. Then again, maybe you already did this. Good luck and keep it up!!
    I did take that into account, however, I don't know if some of the bosses drop items that aren't rerollable. If that is so it messes with the data also, which is why I am planning on doing alot of these runs in all different places to come up with a rough estimate of the reroll percentage.
    Last edited by Griffinfan; 03-07-2013 at 03:34 PM.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Griffinfan View Post
    I was thinking of doing either plasma pyramid or CTK, I don't know if all the looted items in plasma or CTK would reroll. I know some items in forest haven do not reroll.



    I did take that into account, however, I don't know if some of the bosses drop items that aren't rerollable. If that is so it messes with the data also, which is why I am planning on doing alot of these runs in all different places to come up with a rough estimate of the reroll percentage.
    CTK?
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dragonrider023 View Post
    CTK?
    crush the keeper..

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    Quote Originally Posted by Griffinfan View Post
    crush the keeper..
    Oh, why I didn't figure that out.
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    Big Luck is supposed to be 12%
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    Quote Originally Posted by McBain View Post
    Big Luck is supposed to be 12%
    Asommers said 17. and this experiment was with bigger luck

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    Very nice, good luck!

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    Good work. this definitely needs some more data from others to help narrow it down.

    Why doesn't STS just tell everyone what the percentage is? It shouldn't be a secret and it helps sell their products.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Chopper View Post
    Good work. this definitely needs some more data from others to help narrow it down.

    Why doesn't STS just tell everyone what the percentage is? It shouldn't be a secret and it helps sell their products.
    where is the fun in that

    same reason they dont just list all the pinks and their drop rates and where to farm them

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    17% for big luck seems kinda high. You sure that isn't bigger luck?
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    Quote Originally Posted by Griffinfan View Post
    Asommers said 17. and this experiment was with bigger luck
    Ah, I didn't see the Bigger Luck thing, but Big Luck is 12%

    Quote Originally Posted by asommers View Post
    Big Luck is a 12% reroll. Little Luck is 5%. Always has been.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Griffinfan View Post
    The Question of the reroll percentage on Big and Bigger luck has been presented many times in the last few months and we heard from Asommers that Big luck was 17% (or so)

    Today I am setting that out to test.

    Test Place: Bayou Bross Brawl
    Test Elixers: None
    Test Big/Bigger luck: Bigger Luck



    # of Run Total Items looted Rerolls
    Run #1 7 loot 3 rerolls
    Run #2 10 loot 0 rerolls
    Run #3 8 loot 3 reroll
    Run #4 8 loot 0 reroll
    Run #5 9 loot 3 reroll
    Run #6 8 loot 0 reroll
    Run #7 8 loot 1 reroll
    Run #8 9 loot 4 reroll
    Run #9 8 loot 0 reroll
    Run #10 8 loot 2 reroll
    Run #11 8 loot 1 reroll
    Run #12 9 loot 1 reroll


    Conclusion of First test

    Items Looted: 100
    Items Rerolled: 18


    Therefore Bigger luck in this scenario came out as 18% chance for reroll

    My next test will be in a different scenario, also my third will be in conjunction with a 1.5x combo elixer to see if the luck stacks properly.

    Lastly this is not just my experiment Anyone can contribute to it! it is a community project, if you would like to do a experiment do 100 runs on a specific map/boss that has all rerollable items (that you know of) and record all the data similar to what I have and either post it here or pm me.

    thoughts are welcomed.
    Great! Should you try to run without the big luck and compare too... Maybe this is the same result hehehe or just want to comparre.. just to check.. anyway ty

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    Quote Originally Posted by FluffNStuff View Post
    Love experimenting and data collecting. Just gotta put you on the look out for something that might mess with your data. Rerolls only happen if there is a loot rarity higher then the one you first got. Easy example is a pink on a boss. If you get one on the first try, you won't get a reroll even with a 100% elixir. Next problem is mobs. If a mob does not have a pink in its table and you roll a purple, you won't get a reroll. Some mobs don't have purples in their table so you won't get a reroll on Greens. You just need to know what the max loot rarity is and remove those results from your attempts. Then again, maybe you already did this. Good luck and keep it up!!
    If this was exactly how rerolls worked, why then when I have a shamrock on every single drop I get is rerolled? Regardless of what the enemy is.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Ogbuehi View Post
    If this was exactly how rerolls worked, why then when I have a shamrock on every single drop I get is rerolled? Regardless of what the enemy is.
    That is true on some cases, on the drop table some loot does not have a higher reroll. There are some of these items in forest haven, and only reason I know is because I farmed there with 100% a long time ago and one item didn't reroll, as a noob I wrote support and that is what they told me.

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    Thanks for the great info, had no idea they had such a big impact, or diff between big and bigger lucks. I'll have to take those more seriously going forward!

    Any word yet on the % of Big Luck 2013? I've seen a lot of guessing, but nothing solid.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Disko View Post
    Thanks for the great info, had no idea they had such a big impact, or diff between big and bigger lucks. I'll have to take those more seriously going forward!

    Any word yet on the % of Big Luck 2013? I've seen a lot of guessing, but nothing solid.
    Well I asked support when I had them recover an item for me. Dracknor said he had no idea lol. I'm sure some other dev/mod has to know...
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