Your point at the end about their decline due to the POSSIBLE non inclusion of New Mythics was actually the initial question I posted. "Since we can keep our Elondrian Crates after the event would any new Mythic/Arcane releases also be included in the Elondrian Crates or would we need to craft a new type of crate for each new Mythic/Arcane release?" STS hasnt clarified one way or the other yet.
My guess is you are correct and they wont be though we will have to create new crates. Since it looks like that comes with the new event system. Keep in mind, STS will be monitoring this first big event very closely and the impact it has on their profit. If the previous system shows itself to be much more profitable for STS than this new one, they could go back. We just dont know.
IF new Mythic/Arcane items release and are not added to Elondrian Crate wheel (which again we dont know that they wont be) Your right they will go down much quicker, but not before they go up. Not everyone who opens crates and wants the new Mythics will get them. The demand for lvl 41 Mythics wont go away just because the event ends. Their value will peak at some point after the event, they will be the ONLY way EVER to generate these 41 Mythic weapons.
The most important factor though isnt even the Mythic Weapons. Its the fact that older mythics were removed. This means that the ROI of Elondrian Crates is vastly superior. Most serious plat/crate whales will want these crates after the event for not only the Mythic items they will drop but their chance at an Arcane Ring and other higher end Arcane/Mythic items PLUS not only are they guranteed to loot more valuable Arcane/Mythics their drop rate is 2x.
Also the large merchants will want to control the flow of these new Mythics the easiest way to control the flow is to control the source. Which are the Elondrian crates this too will increase demand especially since immediately after this event the number of Elondrian Crates in circulation is finite. All you need is enough gold and inventory space to put a stranglehold on the supply of 41 Mythics and then once there IS control of the supply their price can be forcibly driven up.
You are correct though in that eventually one day eveything depreciates and so will these. Their value will peak as everythings value does and then its time to sell them.
Bookmarks